It’s safe to say that the Pittsburgh Steelers have had a pretty eventful offseason to date with Omar Khan completely revamping the offensive side of the ball. To kick off the spring, the franchise hired former Atlanta Falcons head coach Arthur Smith to come be the offensive coordinator for a franchise desperate for points production. In a somewhat surprising but necessary move, the team also signed former Broncos quarterback Russell Wilson and subsequently traded away their 2022 first round pick in Kenny Pickett. In just about every stylistic and schematic fashion, the Steelers offense is slated to look much different.
Of course, fans of the team around the globe are also hoping that “different” will equate to improvement as well. Head coach Mike Tomlin has acknowledged that both pieces are looking for a fresh start following recent career shortcomings and the pairing has a chance to rewrite the narrative surrounding their reputation. The previous versions of Russell Wilson and Arthur Smith don’t exactly mesh incredibly well on the surface, but you’d expect that everyone involved understands that in order to foster growth, there must be change associated. A huge question that we don’t yet know the answer to is how will opposing defenses play the Steelers new look offense?
Smith’s offense revolves around heavy personnel, a persistent rushing attack led by wide zone principles and often times tight splits from the receivers. Defenses have often countered his scheme by choosing to deploy a massive amount of Cover-3, as he saw those looks on a whopping 47% on their offensive snaps during the 2023 season. Now, to be fair, Cover-3 is still the most predominant coverage league wide but no one faced these looks more than the Falcons, with the league wide average sitting around 35%.
Arthur Smith with the "yankee" (post-over) concept.
Single-high killer, QB has to read the intention of the FS. The condensed splits from the WRs give them the leverage advantage and it helps sync up the timing with the drop.
These max protection shot plays are big in this O. pic.twitter.com/P5lfAMok7r
— Derrick (@Steelers_DB) February 8, 2024
Comparing this to the type of defense that Russell Wilson-led offenses typically see if quite different. Only the Miami Dolphins and last year’s version of the Steelers saw more Cover-2 than the Broncos did in 2023. Towards the end of his Seattle Seahawks tenure, more and more teams started reverting to more two-high shells in order to combat Wilson’s deep ball prowess. When he entered the league, defensive coordinators were overly obsessed with trying to recreate the “Legion of Boom” but didn’t have the personnel to execute the plan efficiently.
| Steelers vs. Bills |
Everyone runs Cover 2 vs. Pittsburgh…
https://t.co/krip9HXIQW#ArtofX pic.twitter.com/h82UjerF7E
— Cody Alexander (@The_Coach_A) January 15, 2024
Wilson’s ability to throw the ball down the field with touch and accuracy will hopefully help lift some of the space constraint concerns off of Smith’s offensive scheme. If teams want to live in the single-high world, that should allow them to create explosive plays by exploiting one on one coverages towards George Pickens. If defenses want to play light boxes and play split field coverages on the back end, it will become imperative for Pittsburgh to grind teams down by using their rushing attack.
Russ running what Sean Payton calls "Flutie Sting" off play action, which hits for an explosive play versus C3.
His arm is still ~90% in tact, still capable of driving the down the field on a line. pic.twitter.com/vmBFcm9sul
— Derrick (@Steelers_DB) March 8, 2024
The concerns around the pairing really rely on the timing aspect of Smith’s offense, particularly as it relates to the play-action game over the middle. Wilson’s a playmaking quarterback that likes to play out of structure and hunt big plays down the field but because of his short stature, he’s never been able to consistently access the intermediate middle part of the field. That’s a known deficiency that Smith will have to scheme but he’s going to have to adjust on his end as well. The pure drop back passing game in his offense isn’t something that offers much creativity or promise, with spacing, lack of detail and confusing route combinations littered all over the Falcons tape in recent seasons.
With Wilson costing the Steelers virtually nothing in terms of cap space and trading for Justin Fields, his leash will likely be shorter than the offensive coordinator. Fields has some of the same strengths: he’s a gifted deep ball thrower who is a big play machine with his legs, capable of exciting highlights that we used to see all over Wilson’s film before his athleticism began to decline. Like the starter, he also takes a ton of sacks and doesn’t often target the middle of the field with timing and precision due to a lack of anticipation in his arsenal as a passer.
Justin Fields is a gifted deep ball thrower, one of his strengths as a passer.
First read is taken away and pressure forces him up in the pocket. Steps up with his eyes downfield, resets and fires. 45-yard drive on the money.
This is a hand off. pic.twitter.com/coJEzWf5nr
— Derrick (@Steelers_DB) February 15, 2024
In the event that Fields does have to enter the lineup at some point, the biggest advantage to that would be his effect as a runner. Running quarterbacks give you a +1 advantage in the box and Smith has utilized running quarterbacks well in the past: with Ryan Tannehill, Marcus Mariota and Desmond Ridder all providing value in this regard despite none of those guys being the type of athlete that Fields is. Ideally, you want to see Smith’s offense evolve past being so reliant on the running game but there’s a realistic scenario where this becomes their best approach if the passing game doesn’t mesh quickly enough.
In 2022, Smith leaned heavily into the QB run game with Marcus Mariota at QB. The results on designed runs were very good.
Atlanta ranked:
Yards: 5th
TDs: T-4th
First downs: 4th
Rushing EPA: 5th pic.twitter.com/Elf52vzJd4— Derrick (@Steelers_DB) February 1, 2024
With their defense mostly intact with plenty of talent galore, Pittsburgh’s offense remains the biggest question mark heading into the season. Their rushing attack will be their bread and butter, but the passing game has questions that will need to be answered before taking them seriously in such a talented conference with a plethora of high-powered offenses. Smith, Wilson and potentially Fields, all have a huge opportunity to revitalize their careers in 2024. The Steelers fate depends on it.
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